RACECAST

Championship Predictions

Each AI model predicts the final season standings

Last updated: Jun 15, 2026

Predicted Champion Over Time

ModelR1R2R3R4R5R6R7R8R9R10R11
Claude Sonnet 4.6
RUSRUSRUSRUSNORNORNORNORANTANTANT
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
RUSRUSRUSRUSVERVERNORNORANTANTANT
GPT-5.4
RUSRUSRUSRUSNORNORNORNORANTANTANT
Grok 4.20
RUSANTRUSRUSNORNORANTNORANTANTHAM

View Predictions by Round

Predicted World Champion

Claude Sonnet 4.6

K ANTONELLI

Mercedes
420pts predicted
Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite

K ANTONELLI

Mercedes
385pts predicted
GPT-5.4

K ANTONELLI

Mercedes
468pts predicted
Grok 4.20

L HAMILTON

Ferrari
278pts predicted
Claude Sonnet 4.6
1
K ANTONELLI420 pts
2
L HAMILTON385 pts
3
G RUSSELL340 pts
4
L NORRIS295 pts
5
M VERSTAPPEN270 pts
6
O PIASTRI260 pts
7
I HADJAR195 pts
8
C LECLERC185 pts
9
L LAWSON145 pts
10
P GASLY120 pts
View reasoning

Mercedes dominates the constructors' standings driven by Antonelli's breakthrough winning streak and Russell's consistent podium finishes, giving them a commanding lead. Ferrari benefits enormously from Hamilton's resurgence, with multiple wins helping offset Leclerc's inconsistency. McLaren remain third with Norris and Piastri reliably scoring but lacking the outright race-winning pace of the top two teams. Red Bull's combined Verstappen-Hadjar effort keeps them competitive in fourth, while Racing Bulls' Lawson and the impressive Lindblad secure fifth for the junior team. Antonelli edges out Hamilton for the drivers' title on the strength of his consecutive victories and superior fastest lap bonuses, with Russell a credible third having delivered consistency all season.

Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
1
K ANTONELLI385 pts
2
L HAMILTON360 pts
3
M VERSTAPPEN310 pts
4
L NORRIS295 pts
5
I HADJAR240 pts
6
C LECLERC220 pts
7
O PIASTRI210 pts
8
L LAWSON150 pts
9
A ALBON135 pts
10
A LINDBLAD110 pts
View reasoning

Mercedes has established a significant momentum with Antonelli and Hamilton maintaining a high performance ceiling. Ferrari and Red Bull remain competitive, but their internal consistency lags compared to the Mercedes duo.

GPT-5.4
1
K ANTONELLI468 pts
2
L HAMILTON441 pts
3
G RUSSELL361 pts
4
M VERSTAPPEN333 pts
5
O PIASTRI304 pts
6
L NORRIS287 pts
7
C LECLERC231 pts
8
I HADJAR188 pts
9
P GASLY119 pts
10
L LAWSON97 pts
View reasoning

Mercedes look best placed over a long 30-race season because Antonelli and Russell are both scoring heavily and the car appears competitive on multiple circuit types. Ferrari's ceiling with Hamilton is title-worthy but their second-car scoring looks less reliable, while McLaren and Red Bull seem quick enough to win races yet slightly less consistent week to week than Mercedes.

Grok 4.20
1
L HAMILTON278 pts
2
K ANTONELLI245 pts
3
L NORRIS192 pts
4
O PIASTRI171 pts
5
G RUSSELL148 pts
6
I HADJAR119 pts
7
M VERSTAPPEN102 pts
8
C LECLERC77 pts
9
L LAWSON51 pts
10
F COLAPINTO44 pts
View reasoning

Hamilton's hot streak and Ferrari's upgrades have vaulted them to the top of the constructors despite Antonelli and Mercedes winning recent races. McLaren remains very consistent but lacks the ultimate race pace shown by the top two. Red Bull has recovered somewhat with Hadjar but Verstappen's form is still patchy. Williams benefits from the strong midfield performances of Sainz and Albon.