Azerbaijan Grand Prix
Completed4/4 models predict K ANTONELLI wins — Claude Sonnet, Gemini Flash, GPT, Grok
| Pos |  |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | K ANTONELLI | K ANTONELLI | K ANTONELLI | K ANTONELLI |
| 2 | M VERSTAPPEN | C LECLERC | L NORRIS | M VERSTAPPEN |
| 3 | G RUSSELL | G RUSSELL | M VERSTAPPEN | L NORRIS |
| 4 | L NORRIS | L NORRIS | G RUSSELL | G RUSSELL |
| 5 | C LECLERC | M VERSTAPPEN | C LECLERC | C LECLERC |
| 6 | O PIASTRI | L HAMILTON | O PIASTRI | O PIASTRI |
| 7 | L HAMILTON | O PIASTRI | L HAMILTON | L HAMILTON |
| 8 | F ALONSO | L LAWSON | L LAWSON | L LAWSON |
| 9 | N HULKENBERG | F COLAPINTO | F COLAPINTO | N HULKENBERG |
| 10 | P GASLY | P GASLY | A LINDBLAD | A LINDBLAD |
| FL | G RUSSELL | G RUSSELL | G RUSSELL | K ANTONELLI |
| Win odds | K ANTONELLI 29% M VERSTAPPEN 19% G RUSSELL 17% L NORRIS 11% C LECLERC 8% O PIASTRI 5% | K ANTONELLI 35% C LECLERC 25% G RUSSELL 15% L NORRIS 12% M VERSTAPPEN 8% L HAMILTON 3% | K ANTONELLI 24% L NORRIS 18% M VERSTAPPEN 15% G RUSSELL 10% C LECLERC 9% L HAMILTON 5% | K ANTONELLI 32% M VERSTAPPEN 18% L NORRIS 14% G RUSSELL 11% C LECLERC 7% O PIASTRI 6% |
| Notes | Winner Pick Antonelli has been utterly dominant recently, winning the last two of three races and showing the Mercedes package is exceptionally strong on both high-speed straights and technical sections, both of which Baku demands. Dark Horse Charles Leclerc has historically excelled in Baku qualifying and race pace on street circuits with long straights, making him a genuine threat to disrupt the podium order despite recent quieter form. Risk Factor Baku's street layout is notorious for safety cars and red flags that can completely scramble strategy and erase a dominant car's advantage, especially with Verstappen's aggressive racecraft in traffic. | Winner Pick Kimi Antonelli's spectacular form continues as Mercedes brings a highly efficient low-drag package to Baku, allowing him to edge out street-circuit specialist Charles Leclerc. Dark Horse Franco Colapinto has shown impressive adaptability in recent rounds and could secure a very strong points finish for Alpine. Risk Factor Baku's notorious Turn 15 and the high likelihood of Safety Cars could easily disrupt strategy and trigger chaos at the restart. | Winner Pick Antonelli is the form driver with two wins from the last three races, and Mercedes has shown excellent low-drag efficiency and traction — both critical at Baku. In a mostly dry race with moderate wind, his current confidence and straight-line package make him the strongest pick. Dark Horse Franco Colapinto is a sleeper for another points finish: he has been consistently near the lower top ten recently and Baku often rewards opportunistic drivers who avoid incidents. If Alpine gets the timing right around a Safety Car, he could finish higher than pure pace suggests. Risk Factor Baku’s biggest variable is chaos: Safety Cars, restarts, lock-ups into Turn 1, and wall contact can completely reset the race. Wind gusts along the long straights and braking zones also increase the chance of mistakes, especially in traffic. | Winner Pick Antonelli has won the last two grands prix and carries strong momentum into Baku, where Mercedes power and his qualifying pace should again prove decisive on the long straights. Dark Horse Lawson in the second Red Bull could surprise with a top-six result; the car has shown strong straight-line speed and he has been steadily improving racecraft. Risk Factor A sudden rain shower (even the modest 13 % chance) or a safety car triggered by the tight Baku walls could scramble the order and hand an advantage to a driver starting further back. |